Manchester City 2019/20 Season Predictions
By David Crook
As we sit on the cusp of the new season, it is impossible to feel anything other than excitement.
Having followed Manchester City for as long as I can remember there have not always been Summers of relaxed optimism. Until the relatively recent past, the beginning of pre season was always full of hope but laced with trepidation. The hope had generally worn off before the last sun of Summer had passed, replaced with a steely determination and latent realism.
Yet, this year again I feel quite relaxed. It is not that I think we will win every game – or indeed, every trophy that we compete for (we have done that pretty much already!). It is rather I feel confident in both Pep and the team we have.
I expect we will finish at least in the top four and hope it is as winners of the Premier League. Securing the title for 3 years in a row and for 5 times in the last 9 years will be an amazing achievement that I would not really expect to improve upon in my lifetime.
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Adding any of the domestic trophies to a title win would be sublime. But to be honest, as long as we can sustain our recent form we should be there or thereabouts come the end of the season and as a fan, that is the best I can hope for.
A single trophy win marks a successful season for me, whatever that trophy is.
Whilst I can appreciate the media clamour around the Champions League I still think of it as a cold tournament. My ambition is no more than improving upon our performances last year. My expectation is tempered by the fact the favourable draws we had last season are statistically unlikely to be repeated.
Looking in more detail at the Premier League, it is clear most of our rivals have strengthened. As I write this the transfer window has not yet slammed shut so there is still the possibility other teams will add to their roster to mount a serious title challenge.
I predict this will mean the top four sides are likely to take more points off each other than in previous campaigns, meaning the unprecedented points tallies that Manchester City have racked up in recent campaigns will not be repeated this year.
I would actually go further and suggest the title race will be even closer than last year and the final table will see the top three separated by a single point, with the winners anointed by virtue of goal difference. If teams perform as I expect then there will be a crushing reality to face – there will be little room for error in the final run in.
There will be some early season running made by the newly promoted sides, who may find their tactical innovations enough to gather points from many sides, yet these campaigns will fizzle out as quality begins to exert itself on the division. After 8 games I predict the top of the table to be :
Manchester City 20 points
Liverpool 18 points
Chelsea 18 points
Spurs 18 points
Sheffield United 18 points
Manchester United 17 points
By the half way point the top four will have pulled away from the rest of the top 6 and the table will begin to have a more familiar look. By this stage I believe City will have carved out a 3 point lead but by matchday 30 this will be reduced to a single point lead over Liverpool.
There will be an interesting mini table under the top 4 of sides vying for European competition where Leicester, Everton and West Ham United will all feature strongly.
In the final 8 games of the season, the top of the table team will frequently change with everything to play for by the last game. I believe Manchester City will retain the title but only on goal difference. Liverpool will again finish runners up, coming close but ultimately failing yet again.
My predicted final 2019/20 Table
Manchester City 87 points
Liverpool 87 points
Spurs 86 points
Chelsea 76 points
Manchester United 69 points
West Ham United 59 points
Based on my calculations I believe the three clubs relegated will be Crystal Palace, Brighton and Bournemouth. Three clubs no Northern based fans will mourn.