Study predicts Premier League champion & runner-up.

TOPSHOT - Manchester City's German midfielder Ilkay Gundogan lifts the trophy as Manchester City players celebrate winning the title at the presentation ceremony following the English Premier League football match between Manchester City and Chelsea at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester, north west England, on May 21, 2023. Manchester City won the Premier League for the fifth time in six seasons on Saturday, taking a first step to a possible golden treble of trophies as second-placed Arsenal lost 1-0 at Nottingham Forest. (Photo by Oli SCARFF / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or 'live' services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by OLI SCARFF/AFP via Getty Images) /

Manchester City is seen as the front-runner to win the English Premier League for a record-breaking fourth time, according to sports statistics expert Opta.

Based on 10,000 simulations, Opta‘s number of analysts forecasted each Premier League team’s final rankings at the conclusion of the 2023–2024 season, taking performance and remaining games into account.

For Burnley, the projections sound depressing and worrying, but they look hopeful for Coach Pep Guardiola‘s squad.

Based on Opta‘s research, City‘s chances of winning the title have increased to 84.6%. Arsenal, the runners-up from the previous season, is at 5.6%, while Liverpool only managed to secure 9.1%.

According to Opta, Tottenham Hotspur‘s title chances are essentially non-existent at 0.3%, a percentage shared with Aston Villa.

Manchester United, now in sixth place, is expected to finish seventh, with a small 5.9% probability of finishing in the top four, despite a recent minor improvement in that percentage.

Chelsea is predicted to finish in ninth place, and Newcastle United has a 25% chance of placing in the top four for the second straight year.

The three lowest-ranking teams in the standings—the same teams that were promoted to the Premier League this season—are likewise expected to be relegated, according to Opta‘s projections. At the moment, Burnley‘s chances of being relegated are 86.9%.

After twelve games last season, City has one fewer point in the league than they did.

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